I want to use this thread to present the key findings of going through recent Wayland news releases. Everything shown here is public accessible. I have no intention to accuse someone of fraud or something like this, just asking questions .... Feb 20 2019: Wayland Group Provides Corporate Update I do not want to speak about the well below average generated revenues nor the revenue forecasts. Just as a side note: Ben had a forecast of ~ $15,000,000 for Q4 2018 (October – December 2018). The corporate update states $1,305,033 for Q4 2018 (< 10 percentage of the forecast). In addition, you cannot whitewash the 480% increase to the previous quarter.
“Wayland has also entered into an agreement to obtain additional funds to support the expansion of the Company’s global footprint and fund development of its flagship Langton facility. This agreement is with certain investment funds managed by Alpha Blue Ocean Inc. (“Alpha Blue”) a money manager based in London, United Kingdom with a strong track record of partnering with public companies and delivering meaningful value to their shareholders.”
QuickCool AB (Publ) ("QuickCool" or the "Company") has entered into a financing agreement with European High Growth Opportunities Securitization Fund through its financial advisor Alpha Blue Ocean Inc.
MAR 28 2018: CybAero and European High Growth Opportunities Securitization Fund (“EHGO”), advised by Alpha Blue Ocean Advisors Ltd, member of the Alpha Blue Ocean Investment Group (“ABO”), has now signed an agreement regarding a financing solution of up to SEK 52.5 million in the form of thirteen convertible loans, the first loan of SEK 4.5 million and the following twelve loans each of SEK 4 million.
“CybAero had provisionally negotiated a financing solution with the Luxembourg-based European High Growth Opportunities Securitization Fund, or EHGO, to raise $6 million in the form of 13 convertible loans. The EHGO had hired the London-based Alpha Blue Ocean Advisors to mediate a deal. The first tranche in this solution involved a bridge loan amounting to $227,000. Nasdaq First North rejected this first tranche arrangement and insisted that, in order for trading in its share to resume, CybAero needed to place a minimum of $114,000 in escrow on a authorized bank account. Moreover, Nasdaq First North launched an investigation to determine if the negotiated financing solution violated stock exchange rules.”
Liquidity crisis, request for a tranche and changes to financial calendar and date of the Annual General Meeting Despite the financing agreement in force, Alpha Blue Ocean (”ABO”) has not paid tranches envisaged by the agreement since 12 November 2018. This has resulted in a liquidity crisis in FIT Biotech Oy (”Company”). The Company has today filed a latest request for a tranche with ABO. Unless ABO pays this tranche by 22 February 2019, Company will have to file for bankruptcy.
I could go on like this, but I think you got it. So this means “strong track record and delivering meaningful value to their shareholders.” for Ben? Next news release: Feb. 07, 2019: Wayland Group Receives EU-GMP Certification for German Facility
“Wayland Group is pleased to announce that it has received both Good Manufacturing Practices and Good Distribution Practices certifications from the national authority in the State of Saxony for the Company’s Ebersbach facility in Germany.”
“These certifications provide Wayland with the foundation to start selling product into the lucrative German and other developing European markets …”
Oh really? Not in my view … Next news release: Jan. 31, 2019: Wayland Group Comments on Recent Promotional Market Activity
“Since September 1, 2017 the Company has engaged MJM Markets and Consulting (Toronto, Canada; Follow The Money Investor Group, o/a 2632436 Ontario Limited (Toronto, Canada); Harbor Access LLC (NY, USA); Investing News Network; M. Davis & Associates Capital Inc (Vancouver, Canada); ERPR AS (Oslo, Norway); BlackX GmbH (Germany); Tycona Media (Vancouver, Canada); DiePRBerator (Germany); Global Financial Network (Toronto, Canada), and Prosdocimi (London, UK) at various times to provide investor relations services, public relations services, marketing, native advertising or other related services including the promotion of the Company, its business and/or its securities.”
The Falcon Funds bust is a big thing. See also Malta Civil Court https://www.gov.mt/en/Government/DOI/Government%20Gazette/Court%20Notices/Pages/2018/09/CourtNotices2009.aspx. “By the present, the Agency, refers to your involvement inter alia as the final person in control, director and/or shareholder of Oxxy Group Polc, Rock Energy AS, Element ASA (previously known as Intex Resources AS) and White November Fund, in respect of which a number of transactions have been carried out to the detriment of the Sub-Funds and any other direct or indirect involvment in the investments made in the name of the Sub-Funds. It results that these Sub-Funds have suffered a loss, and there could be futher substantial loss, and this loss is, inter alia, the direct or indirect result of your actions and/or omissions, resulting from your negligence, and/or fraud, and/or carelessness, lack of skill and/or for your failure to observe the laws and rules applicable and also because of default in your obligations.”
I know this is much content, but if you want to make your own picture of Beitnes just dig into this whole Element ASA debacle starting last year. Two auditors (EY & PwC) and the CFO left Element … Then Beitnes left as Chairmen but now serving as external consultant for Element receiving 100.000 NOK monthly. https://www.dn.no/bors/element/lars-christian-beitnes/rikard-storvestre/avtroppende-styreleder-far-100000-kroner-i-maneden-for-radgivning/2-1-498862 would be a good start. Or dig deeper into the Swedish Pensions Authority lawsuit against Beitnes. Finally … just ask yourself why does Ben deals with such shady persons? Did Ben no DD on those guys or did he not want to … And that is just the top of the iceberg. TO BE CONTINUED
Reminder: Market-timing questions are banned. Please report them. Threads will be removed.
As the news-reels about Brexit and deals (or lack there-of) continue to roll on, a timely reminder is needed that market timing questions are banned on this subreddit. We have already spent the time and effort to write a wiki article explaining why, which I will copy below for your convenience. For the avoidance of doubt, the following are examples of market timing questions that have been removed in the last few days:
"Should I buy a house pre or post Brexit?"
"Should I be timing the market?"
"Aware that BREXIT is likely to affect house prices, rental revenue and the stock market so is now the best time to change things up?"
" I'm looking at selling my flat and buying a house at some point this year. When do stamp duty changes normally happen? I seem to remember someone saying November but I can't find any mention of it." *(edit: Potentially questionable - see discussion below)
"Is anybody else waiting for the next recession b*efore buying or investing. Id love to hear your thoughts."
This is currently the most-removed topic of discussion. Please continue to be vigilant and report rule-breaking threads. If in doubt, report them anyway and the mods can decide. Thanks!
Since Brexit (and before but less frequently) we have had a slew of questions asking when the right time to exchange money to/from USD/CAD/EUR etc. It is impossible to provide a meaningful answer to this. The exchange rate could get better, or worse, or neither. Nobody has a crystal ball of knows enough to predict the changes an hour, day, month, or year ahead. For this reason, the mods have taken the decision to ban these questions, and threads will be locked and/or removed. Please refer to Rule 2 in the rules. Regular poster pflurklurk summarised the issues concisely:
Essentially you can't predict the rate, so really it is up to your risk tolerance. You can transfer it now to ensure you have the sufficient number of pounds to satisfy your liability, or you can take a gamble (or a mixture of both by making multiple transfers).
Martin Lewis (of Moneysavingexpert fame) had the following to say (see his full blog here) This was before Brexit but the points are all still valid:
Ask yourself what rate is good for you? Whatever happens to the euro rate, the future is out of your control. So forget trying to guess the market and instead ask yourself: ‘Would I be happy to get a rate of €1.26 for my holiday money…?’ If your answer is: “It’s a decent rate, I could have a reasonable holiday on that, and my real fear is it getting worse because that’d make things unaffordable” – then go safe and buy now. However if you do that and the pound strengthens, and in hindsight you’d have been better off waiting, don’t let the bitterness ruin your holiday. For those stuck on what to do, there are a couple of halfway houses. To hedge your bets, simply buy half of what you’ll need now (using the methods below) and leave half until after the referendum. For another possible alternative, see the trick I’ve added at the end of this blog. (Or see the trick below for another halfway house.) Personally I don’t do speculation. Instead, I just ensure I always get the best rates on the day. The easy way to do this is with bureau busting, specialist travel credit cards. The two top picks right now are Halifax Clarity and Creation Everyday, which give near perfect exchange rates in every country, so just pocketing one means you know you’re getting a good deal. Though you do need to pay them off IN FULL each month to minimise interest. Then if you’re really cool, funky and, ahem, down with the kids, like me, you can put them in your overseas wallet.
Following major world events we have historically had a flurry of questions asking if this is a good/bad time to invest/disinvest/change allocations. The answer, as above, is that nobody knows. When it comes to planning your personal finances and investing, you should remember this proverb:
The best time to plant a tree was twenty years ago. The second best time is now.
"I can't recall ever once having seen the name of a market timer on Forbes' annual list of the richest people in the world. If it were truly possible to predict corrections, you'd think somebody would have made billions by doing it."
Warren Buffett, the sage of Omaha:
"We continue to make more money when snoring than when active." "The only value of stock forecasters is to make fortune-tellers look good."
Your PM US Stocks and a whole lot more news that you need to read: US stocks close lower, pare earlier losses on Brexit progress
US Markets End of Day Snapshot
US stocks close lower, paring earlier losses as news of progress on Brexit helped markets late day
Oil closed higher for the first time in 13 sessions, WTI broke its longest losing streak ever
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak tonight at an event being hosted by the Dallas Fed discussing national and global economic issues
The S&P 500 finished down 0.76%, Nasdaq Composite is down 0.9%, and Russell 2000 is down 0.81%
The S&P500 closed lower for the fifth straight day and is at its lowest level in 2 weeks
Telecom (+0.46%), Real Estate (+0.04%), and Energy (-0.11%) stocks were the top performers in the S&P 500 today
Utilities (-1.13%), Tech (-1.29%), and Financials (-1.38%) stocks were the worst performers in the S&P 500 today
Investor sentiment for US stocks finished negative with the advance/decline ratio for the S&P 500 closing at 0.5x
44 stocks in the S&P 500 hit 4-week highs while 28 stocks reached 4-week lows
14 stocks in the S&P 500 closed overbought while 24 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
49 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite hit 4-week highs while 202 stocks reached 4-week lows
124 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite closed overbought while 339 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
The VIX closed down -20.02 points today to 0 after closing at 20.02 yesterday
Stocks Trending in the News
Click name for Q-Factor rating and financials data.
Adyen (AYDNA DC) shares are falling today after notable index compiler MSCI refrained from adding Adyen to its MSCI Europe Index benchmark. According to an analyst from Bryan Garnier, who maintains a ‘Sell’ recommendation for Adyen with a price target of 490 euros, some investors were surprised by the news. Adyen is rated “Unattractive” in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Amazon (AMZN) will see the first protest in New York City today over its new campus planned for Long Island City in Queens. Some local politicians want guarantees from Amazon that it will do all it can to benefit the citizens of Queens and plan to demand that today. They complain that the area cannot handle 25,000 new people, especially given the state of the subways, saying Amazon is building a helipad while residents are stuck with overcrowded trains. Amazon is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Top Buy” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
Apple (AAPL) was downgraded at Guggenheim today to neutral from buy. The note cites supply chain cuts and the lower deliveries of phones it implies. Apple was also had its price target lowered at UBS to USD$225, also citing supply chain concerns. Apple is rated “Attractive” in both our US Large-Cap and US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
AT&T (T) reiterated guidance for 2018 today. AT&T expects full year EPS in the range of USD$3.50. AT&T expects full year revenue of USD$21 billion range. AT&T said the first full quarter with WarnerMedia integrated saw it accretive to earnings by USD$0.05 and AT&T reiterated its expectation of USD$2.5 billion in run-rate synergies by 2021. AT&T is rated “Attractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Canada Goose (TSX: GOOS) shares are soaring after the winter clothing manufacturer reported earnings that topped analysts’ estimates for the seventh straight quarter. Canada Goose generated FY2Q2018 adjusted EPS of CAD$0.46/share while analysts’ consensus called for CAD$0.26/share. Canada Goose’s profitability also surpassed analyst expectations, reporting FY2Q2018 gross margin of 55.8% while analysts expected 52.8%. Canada Goose is not rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
Caterpillar (CAT) was maintained as a buy at Credit Suisse in a note to clients. Caterpillar’s price target was updated to USD$183 as well. Caterpillar saw October machines sales rise 18%, this follows a 21% rise in September. Caterpillar is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.
Facebook’s (FB) turbulent year is bleeding into employee morale with several key measures of internal sentiment taking a turn for the worse this year. Amid a falling stock price, troubled leadership, and harsh media coverage, only about 50% of Facebook’s 23,000 employees said they were optimistic about Facebook’s future, down from 82% the year before. Meanwhile, 53% of employees believe that Facebook is making the world better, down from 72% in 2017. Facebook is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
Iliad SA (ENXTPA: ILD) shares are trading higher following FY3Q2018 financials that contained shreds of optimism after the company’s stock has lost half of its value so far in 2018. Specifically, investors were pleased to see strong performance in the company’s Italian unit. Raymond James analyst Stephane Beyazian, who maintains a ‘Strong Buy’ recommendation for Iliad, wrote in a note that FY3Q2018 contained the first signs of recovery for Iliad. Raymond James is rated “Unattractive’ in our European SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Bloomindale's, a unit of Macy's (M), is adding high end appliances to its store in New York City. Bloomingdale's is following other retailers in adding appliances to its offerings. The Macy's unit will offer USD$7,000 refrigerators from LG and washing machines that automatically figure out how much soap is needed. Bloomindale's hopes to spark sales by adding the new products. Macy's is rated "Neutral" in both our US Large-Cap and US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
L Brands’ (LB) Victoria’s Secret lost its head of lingerie, according to a report in Bloomberg today. Jan Singer ran the lingerie division at Victoria’s Secret, a unit with USD$4 billion is annual sales. Victoria’s Secret has been criticized for not adapting to shifting tastes in lingerie. L Brands had no comment on the matter, Ms. Singer has been with the company for 2 years. L Brands is rated “Unattractive” in both our US Large-Cap and US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
Merck (MRK GR) cut its full year adjusted ebitda forecast while raising its net sales guidance. Merck expects full year adjusted ebitda 3.7-3.9 billion euros, down from 3.75-4 billion euros. Merck now expects organic net sales to grow 4-6%, up from 3-5%. Merck said adverse forex effects will lower adjusted ebitda by 8-10%. Merck is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Mediaset (BIT: MS) shares are trading higher after reported FY3Q2018 financials the pleased investors. Mediaset reported an EBIT loss of 9.1mm euros in FY3Q2018, an improvement from their 42.2mm euros EBIT loss a year prior. Mediaset’s failure to retain football broadcasting rights, however, caused advertising revenues in October fell 1% y/y. Mediaset is rated “Neutral” in our European SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
PG&E Corporation (PGC) shares are spiraling downward, falling over 25%, as investors are fearing the possibility that the company’s equipment started the wildfire(s) raging through California. PG&E also announced that it has exhausted all of its revolving credit lines, speaking further to the company’s financial stress. “The risk of bankruptcy is very real for these guys,” says Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Jaimin Patel. PG&E is rated “Attractive’ in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Snap (SNAP) shares fell amid confirmation from the company that the Department of Justice and Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating its IPO. Both are looking into allegation that Snap misled investors leading up to its IPO. Snap said it believes this relates to disclosures it made in relation to competition from Instagram, now part of Facebook (FB). Reports are that Snap was not clear about how much Instagram was hurting its business. Snap is rated “Unattractive” in both our US Large-Cap and US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
Superior Industries (SUP) was upgraded today to buy from neutral at Buckingham. Superior Industries’ price target was lowered to USD$12 from USD$19, however. Superior Industries’ high leverage ratio was cited as a concern by Buckingham, which also said 3Q results were right in line and that recent weakness in the stock “was overdone”. Superior Industries is rated “Top Buy” in both our US SMID-Cap and US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
Tata Motors (TTMT IN) had its outlook cut to negative from stable at Moody’s Investors Service. Tata Motors saw the cut due to weakness expected at its Jaguar Land Rover Automotive Plc over the next 12-18 months. Tata Motors had its rating reaffirmed at Baa2. Tata Motors is not rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
Tencent (700 HK, TCEHY) reported 3Q net income that beat the highest estimates. Tencent reported net income of 23.33 billion yuan while 18.39 billion as consensus. Tencent 3Q revenue of 8.6 billion yuan was in line with 80.41 billion yuan expected. Tencent saw 3Q online gaming revenue of 25.8 billion yuan, online advertising revenue of 16.2 billion and smart phone gaming revenue of 19.5 billion yuan. Tencent is rated “Attractive” in our China All-Cap Global Top Picks.
Wirecard (WDI GR) shares are sliding despite raising guidance. Wirecard raised its operating profit forecast and investors have not been impressed. Morgan Stanley noted the increased guidance “a minor positive” given that most estimates were already above that. Wirecard entered the DAX in September. Wirecard is rated “Attractive” in our European Large-Cap Global top Stock Idea.
US 2-Year Treasury Notes are higher with yields down -2.48 basis points to 2.86%
US 5-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -2.73 basis points to 2.95%
US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -1.47 basis points to 3.12%
The US Treasury 2s-5s Spread has narrowed 0.25 basis points to 0.09%
The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has widened 1.01 basis points to 0.26%
US Treasury 5s-10s Spread has widened 1.26 basis points to 0.17%
EUR€ is up 0.213% against the USD$ in after hours to 1.1314
GBP£ is little changed 0.139% against the USD$ in after hours to 1.2995
CHF is little changed 0.131% against the USD$ in after hours to 0.9943
JPY¥ is down 0.193% against the USD$ in after hours to 113.59
WTI Crude is up 1.01% to USD$56.25/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread little changed USD$0.11 to USD$8.65/bbl
Can someone please give me some idea of what is going on? I'm by no means a forex trader, but I am still a bit shocked by the direction this has been moving over the past couple months. Here's what is confusing me:
There seems to be a large decoupling between CAD/USD and CAD/EUR.
Oil is moving upwards and historically CAD has been closely tied to the movement of WTI.
Canada's Dec jobs report exceeded estimations by a factor of ~7x I think? I know forecasts were for around 10k jobs and the economy instead added 70k, 27k of which were permanent.
I understand the euro is being perceived as strong, but with the looming Italian election as well as struggles in the Brexit talks, I supposed I just didn't expect it to be this strong.
Any points that could help me better understand this or even a framework of looking at it would be appreciated! Cheers.
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